全球市場(chǎng)似乎在回避與歐盟相關(guān)的事情。Christine Lagarde的影響難以鼓舞人心，我們也越來(lái)越接近下周退歐公投的時(shí)間。全球股票市場(chǎng)疲弱，并普遍預(yù)期世界經(jīng)濟(jì)將面臨沖擊，這是一個(gè)嚴(yán)峻的考驗(yàn)。

歐元兌美元未能展開(kāi)進(jìn)一步上行，英鎊兌美元短暫嘗試展開(kāi)反彈修復(fù)無(wú)效后，稍后甚至跌破了1.4114低位。價(jià)格走勢(shì)情況很難展現(xiàn)令人振奮的預(yù)期，令我覺(jué)得意外, 價(jià)格展開(kāi)更深度回調(diào)的預(yù)期傾向每次都受到打壓。雖然總體來(lái)講行情看上去不會(huì)出現(xiàn)太多的上行走勢(shì)…但話雖如此，有些貨幣對(duì)的價(jià)格運(yùn)行也來(lái)到了結(jié)束浪的關(guān)鍵位置，所以我們需要對(duì)美元的一些潛在下跌走勢(shì)做準(zhǔn)備—但坦白來(lái)講，相對(duì)于歐系貨幣對(duì)，市場(chǎng)很明顯渴望推動(dòng)美元往更高點(diǎn)位運(yùn)行。這種情況甚至也適用于澳元。

同時(shí)，日元貨幣對(duì)也延續(xù)跌勢(shì)—美元兌日元跟隨美元的下跌趨勢(shì)，而歐元兌美元的走勢(shì)也推動(dòng)歐元兌日元的持續(xù)下行。坦率地說(shuō)，價(jià)格走勢(shì)看起來(lái)意味著趨勢(shì)會(huì)延續(xù)，即便價(jià)格運(yùn)行在猶豫之間以8個(gè)點(diǎn)的差距下破前期低點(diǎn)105.54.

所以，我們正見(jiàn)證著一些有趣的時(shí)刻…如所有的一起都失效，那么就買(mǎi)入美元，但要小心美元兌日元的走勢(shì)發(fā)展…

祝交易順利。

伊恩?科普塞

英倫金融研究部高級(jí)顧問(wèn)

國(guó)際貴金屬外匯波浪權(quán)威

原文：

That EEEEE-u moment

The world’s markets are shunning anything to do with the EU it seems. The Christine Lagarde development is hardly encouraging any sympathy as we approach the Brexit referendum next week. Global stock markets have weakened and the general expectation of a larger fall-out for the world’s economy does seem to be a stark threat.

EURUSD failed to make any further gains and even GBPUSD broke below the 1.4114 low after a brief attempt at a recovery. It’s hardly an encouraging outlook and has surprised me – my preference for a deeper pullback have been stifled each time. It certainly doesn’t look like we’re going to see much upside, if at all… Having said that, there are a few pairs that reached key ending waves so we do need to give respect to the potential for some Dollar downside movement – but frankly the market is very obviously hungry to keep pressing the Dollar higher against the Europeans. This is even applicable to the Aussie.

Meanwhile, the JPY pairs also extended losses – USDJPY appearing to follow the Dollar losses while EURUSD also pressures EURJPY to the downside also. Frankly, it looks like we’ll see that trend continue even if the market baulked breaking the 105.54 low by just 8 points.

So, we are witnessing some interesting times … If all else fails, buy Dollars but take care in USDJPY…

Good trading

Ian Copsey