總的來(lái)講，我對(duì)市場(chǎng)昨天的走勢(shì)發(fā)展情況表示滿意。之前提及過(guò)4小時(shí)價(jià)格均衡云圖壓制了美元的上行，這種情況也同樣出現(xiàn)在歐元兌美元，英鎊兌美元和美元兌瑞士法郎的盤面上，但美元兌瑞士法郎的價(jià)格運(yùn)行有出現(xiàn)上行突破上方壓制的情況。這往往意味著歐元兌美元和英鎊兌美元也會(huì)有潛在的第二次上行試探，價(jià)格嘗試穿越云圖壓制，同時(shí)結(jié)合價(jià)格運(yùn)行的量能考慮，需要警惕今天或出現(xiàn)破位的機(jī)會(huì)。即便如此，這些價(jià)格運(yùn)行情況也是堅(jiān)定走勢(shì)方向的基礎(chǔ)。

對(duì)于英鎊兌美元，從1.3835低位開(kāi)始展開(kāi)跌勢(shì)修復(fù)的走勢(shì)情況，令我感到有些擔(dān)心。一般情況下，對(duì)于正常修正行情來(lái)講，這種價(jià)格運(yùn)行情況對(duì)于當(dāng)下價(jià)格所處的位置來(lái)講，顯得過(guò)于強(qiáng)勢(shì)，懷疑不久之后價(jià)格會(huì)出現(xiàn)下跌，我還是不太相信當(dāng)下價(jià)格會(huì)有如此強(qiáng)烈的運(yùn)行表現(xiàn)。或許這是一個(gè)需要避免操作的貨幣對(duì)。

澳元延續(xù)上行的走勢(shì)情況符合預(yù)期，但之后行情將陷入一個(gè)更震蕩多變的走勢(shì)當(dāng)中—基本上仍然保持上行方向但并不是強(qiáng)勢(shì)上行。我傾向于建議先觀望，等待合適時(shí)機(jī)再考慮進(jìn)場(chǎng)。

昨天美元兌日元出現(xiàn)了另一個(gè)選項(xiàng)發(fā)展情況。對(duì)此我有一些保留意見(jiàn)，價(jià)格運(yùn)行確實(shí)突破了之前鎖定的支撐位。在這種情況下，可以允許歐元兌日元進(jìn)一步下行到更低點(diǎn)位，但在今天行情結(jié)束之前，價(jià)格在稍后時(shí)段會(huì)上行到更高點(diǎn)位。結(jié)合美元兌日元展現(xiàn)的明顯弱勢(shì)，價(jià)格有下行的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)但目前還沒(méi)有打破下方支撐。不過(guò)，我暫時(shí)還沒(méi)發(fā)現(xiàn)美元兌日元比歐元兌美元出現(xiàn)更強(qiáng)的漲勢(shì)信號(hào)。因此需要謹(jǐn)慎處理…

原文：

Another steady day?

Overall I am quite satisfied with how things developed yesterday. I mentioned the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds were capping the Dollar and this continued to be the case for EURUSD and GBPUSD but USDCHF managed to break above. This tends to suggest the potential for EURUSD and GBPUSD to have a second attempt to reverse through these Clouds and with momentum conditions tending to provide the opportunity for a break today we should be on alert. Even then, this is basically building the foundation for a firmer directional move.

I do have some concerns over GBPUSD that extended the recovery from the 1.3835 low. This appears to be too strong for a normal correction in the current position and while I suspect we’ll begin to see losses before too long, I’m not yet convinced that it will provoke a strong reaction. This is probably a pair to avoided…

The Aussie extended the upside as expected but we should be heading into a period of more whippy and erratic development – still basically on the upside but hardly in a robust trend. I would tend to suggest holding off for the right time to pick a trade.

The alternative outcome in USDJPY developed yesterday. I had some reservations here and it did break the support level I pointed out. This allowed EURJPY to drift lower but then later move back higher towards the end of the day. With the apparent weakness being displayed in USDJPY there are some downside risks but it hasn’t yet quite broken down. However, I can’t see any gains in USDJPY being stronger than EURUSD. There is therefore still need for caution…