關(guān)鍵亮點(diǎn)

新交所 62% 鐵礦石價(jià)格（第二合約月份）上漲 2%，至每噸 64.71 美元。經(jīng)過持續(xù)很久的盤整期間后，多空對(duì)決繼續(xù)。基本面情況看起來處于平衡狀態(tài)——(i) 由于唐山計(jì)劃在 8 月份將高爐產(chǎn)品削減 20%，中國鋼廠利潤率將保持強(qiáng)勁，這為鐵礦石價(jià)格提供了支撐；然而，(ii) 人民幣貶值將減少海運(yùn)貨物的進(jìn)口套利交易，鐵礦石價(jià)格感受到了人民幣貶值帶來的壓力。但縱觀整條曲線，運(yùn)費(fèi)已上漲，F(xiàn)FA（遠(yuǎn)期運(yùn)費(fèi)協(xié)議）市場上的良好動(dòng)能使遠(yuǎn)期曲線保持上升走勢，同時(shí)熱帶風(fēng)暴暫時(shí)造成了現(xiàn)貨的緊俏，運(yùn)往中國的貨物被延遲。

該周總成交量為 300 萬噸?？吹跈?quán)占交投活動(dòng)的一多半，為 52%，而看漲期權(quán)占 49%。80 美元看漲期權(quán)占交易的最大部分。過去一周整條 delta 曲線上均有 48 美元的看跌期權(quán)至 85 美元的看漲期權(quán)在交易。

該周未平倉合約量小幅上升 0.8%，至 7,320 萬噸。未平倉合約量集中在 50 美元的看跌期權(quán)和 80 美元的看漲期權(quán)之間，但尾部最寬從 30 美元的看跌期權(quán)至 115 美元的看漲期權(quán)。

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